Comments on: Are Mark Reynolds’ Strikeouts Hurting The Diamondbacks? http://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/ A web magazine that covers a world of topics every week. New articles published daily. Thu, 09 Feb 2012 04:34:12 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: The Case for Bert Blylevenhttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-31130 The Case for Bert Blyleven Sun, 24 Jul 2011 16:05:21 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-31130 [...] above 5000 (or roughly 87.5% of Ryan’s record). Are strikeouts really that important? (Hint: read this article for your answer.)What’s not as well known is that Ryan is also the career leader for walks, with [...] [...] above 5000 (or roughly 87.5% of Ryan’s record). Are strikeouts really that important? (Hint: read this article for your answer.)What’s not as well known is that Ryan is also the career leader for walks, with [...]

]]> By: What do Robin Yount and Mark Reynolds Have in Common?http://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-15866 What do Robin Yount and Mark Reynolds Have in Common? Wed, 02 Mar 2011 15:56:10 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-15866 [...] never be selected to an All Star Game, even if he gets his numbers in line with those of Dunn.  (We know how I feel about strikeouts).Is it actually possible for someone to be elected to the Hall of Fame without ever being [...] [...] never be selected to an All Star Game, even if he gets his numbers in line with those of Dunn.  (We know how I feel about strikeouts).Is it actually possible for someone to be elected to the Hall of Fame without ever being [...]

]]> By: White Sox Sign Adam Dunn, Red Sox Sign Adrian Gonzalezhttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-9901 White Sox Sign Adam Dunn, Red Sox Sign Adrian Gonzalez Tue, 07 Dec 2010 15:15:33 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-9901 [...] he could cut down the strikeouts and hit .275 instead of .250, but the fact of the matter is that strikeouts aren’t much worse than other outs - a .250 hitter who strikes out a ton isn’t much worse than a .250 hitter who strikes out half [...] [...] he could cut down the strikeouts and hit .275 instead of .250, but the fact of the matter is that strikeouts aren’t much worse than other outs – a .250 hitter who strikes out a ton isn’t much worse than a .250 hitter who strikes out half [...]

]]> By: kosmohttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-792 kosmo Thu, 24 Sep 2009 15:03:07 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-792 @ Lazy - Well, I've already carved the PAs down the just the ones where the opportunity actually exists - so, 20% of those PAs might be a bit low.I just found out that ESPN tracks this - sort of. The median of their statistic is ~ 31% of the opportunities. However, they don't consider advancing the runners to 2nd or 3rd with one out as being productive, whereas I do. The reason for this is that compared to a neutral plate appearance, it would NOT be productive ... but compared to the alternative of a strikeout, it IS productive.On the flip side, they do include bunts, which I don't, because they aren't particularly relevant for non-pitchers (and likely skew the team results significantly upward).Overall, I'm reasonable confident that the 40% is not unreasonably low. If it's a bit high, that's OK. I tried to make my estimates and rounding favorable to the opposing argument to make the result biased slightly in that direction, as opposed to being biased in the direction of my argument.Here is the link to the ESPN info: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/productive?sort=productiveOutRatio&tp=team @ Lazy – Well, I’ve already carved the PAs down the just the ones where the opportunity actually exists – so, 20% of those PAs might be a bit low.

I just found out that ESPN tracks this – sort of. The median of their statistic is ~ 31% of the opportunities. However, they don’t consider advancing the runners to 2nd or 3rd with one out as being productive, whereas I do. The reason for this is that compared to a neutral plate appearance, it would NOT be productive … but compared to the alternative of a strikeout, it IS productive.

On the flip side, they do include bunts, which I don’t, because they aren’t particularly relevant for non-pitchers (and likely skew the team results significantly upward).

Overall, I’m reasonable confident that the 40% is not unreasonably low. If it’s a bit high, that’s OK. I tried to make my estimates and rounding favorable to the opposing argument to make the result biased slightly in that direction, as opposed to being biased in the direction of my argument.

Here is the link to the ESPN info:
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/productive?sort=productiveOutRatio&tp=team
Total Comments by kosmo: 589

]]> By: Lazy Man and Moneyhttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-791 Lazy Man and Money Thu, 24 Sep 2009 14:29:45 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-791 I think you were very conservative with the "Let’s estimate that Reynolds would be able to make a productive out 40% of the time." I would guess the number would be closer to half that. .-= Lazy Man and Money´s last blog ..<a href="http://www.lazymanandmoney.com/get-a-free-50-for-opening-a-529-educational-plan/">Get a Free $50 for Opening a 529 Educational Plan</a> =-. I think you were very conservative with the “Let’s estimate that Reynolds would be able to make a productive out 40% of the time.” I would guess the number would be closer to half that.
.-= Lazy Man and Money´s last blog ..Get a Free $50 for Opening a 529 Educational Plan =-.
Total Comments by Lazy Man and Money: 14

]]> By: kosmohttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-790 kosmo Thu, 24 Sep 2009 14:26:24 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-790 @ Dave - Ah ... but that's really not a problem specific to a strikeout, is it - but rather, a problem with any out. If the guy hammers a ball that gets caught on the warning track to end the inning, he also robs the next guy of the chance. The strikeouts just look worse :) @ Dave – Ah … but that’s really not a problem specific to a strikeout, is it – but rather, a problem with any out. If the guy hammers a ball that gets caught on the warning track to end the inning, he also robs the next guy of the chance. The strikeouts just look worse :)
Total Comments by kosmo: 589

]]> By: Dave Ahttp://www.thesoapboxers.com/are-mark-reynolds-strikeouts-hurting-the-diamondbacks/comment-page-1/#comment-789 Dave A Thu, 24 Sep 2009 14:11:29 +0000 http://www.thesoapboxers.com/?p=1967#comment-789 Agree on your math and conclusions. However, what about those times that his strikeout ended the inning, and the next guy would have come up and hit a home run - but he didn't because the inning was over. Obviously we can never know "what would have happened". But those times he struck out with two outs, he did not give the next guy a chance. Agree on your math and conclusions. However, what about those times that his strikeout ended the inning, and the next guy would have come up and hit a home run – but he didn’t because the inning was over. Obviously we can never know “what would have happened”. But those times he struck out with two outs, he did not give the next guy a chance.
Total Comments by Dave A: 4

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